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Topic:  Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo

Topic:  Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
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Ted Thompson
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  Sticky Topic Until 3/2/2026 - Message Not Read  Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/22/2026 6:09:07 PM 

Use this thread to talk about anything game-related. For away games, we'll have a separate travel thread.

Date: Saturday February 28th, 2026 4:00 PM

Opponent: Toledo  (15-13, 9-6 MAC)

Site: Convocation Center

TV/Webcast: ESPN+

Radio: The Varsity Network App (free) 

Toledo statisticsroster and media guide

Toledo message board:   LaunchPad


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OUbobcat9092
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Member Since: 12/28/2004
Location: Fairfax, VA
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/23/2026 2:12:10 PM 
favored by ESPN Analytics in this game 56.5% - 43.5%


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Urban Bobcat
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Member Since: 9/14/2007
Location: Athens, OH
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/23/2026 8:43:31 PM 
OUbobcat9092 wrote:
favored by ESPN Analytics in this game 56.5% - 43.5%


ESPN Analytics doesn't know that Tod Kowalczyk is Jeffrey's daddy.


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Bobcat Tattoo
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/24/2026 9:21:52 AM 
Let's just hope their whole team doesn't turn into prime Steph Curry again this game.
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M.D.W.S.T
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/24/2026 9:35:29 AM 
This game means a little more than I thought it would at this point... hard to guess how these games go, but either way it's gonna get a little tight around here and I think we're gonna see some flip flop of some tournament seeding.

TODAY:
4) OU 9-6
5) Toledo 8-6
6) BG 7-8


Remaining Schedules:

BG 7-8:
Directional Michigan x2
UMASS.

They could easily get to 10-8

Toledo 8-6:
NIU
OU
Miami
Buffalo

Toledo 10 win basement. Likely to 11 wins and be the 4th seed.


OU 9-6:
Toledo
UMASS
Miami

If OU can get to 11 wins, we could lock in 4. That's assuming quite a bit. 10 wins we lose all tiebreakers, if BG takes care of some bad teams.

I think we might be looking at Kent State in Cleveland as a 6 seed.

Last Edited: 2/24/2026 9:38:13 AM by M.D.W.S.T

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OhioCatFan
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Location: Athens, OH
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/24/2026 10:44:58 AM 
If I was a betting man, I'd guess that 10-8 is probably were we'll end up. That'll probably not make the Top 4, unless there's a multiple team tie, and you know the MAC and tiebreakers! ;-)


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GraffZ06
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Location: Dayton, OH
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/24/2026 1:32:32 PM 
We cant get a top 3 seed. Which means we're locked into the 4/5 matchup in Cleveland. Do I care which seed? I do not.

What matters is winning that first round game.

Ill trade a loss in Athens for a win in Cleveland 6 days a week and twice on Sunday.

Last Edited: 2/24/2026 1:32:53 PM by GraffZ06

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shabamon
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Location: Cincinnati
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/24/2026 1:43:25 PM 
Anywhere from 3-8 is still possible.
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Andrew Ruck
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Location: Columbus, OH
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/24/2026 2:18:17 PM 
Most likely scenario is a repeat of last year - Toledo in the 4/5 game. They clipped us in overtime last year. Boals really needs a win over Toledo Saturday.


Andrew Ruck
B.B.A. 2003

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Bobcat Tattoo
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/24/2026 8:53:57 PM 
M.D.W.S.T wrote:
This game means a little more than I thought it would at this point... hard to guess how these games go, but either way it's gonna get a little tight around here and I think we're gonna see some flip flop of some tournament seeding.

TODAY:
4) OU 9-6
5) Toledo 8-6
6) BG 7-8


Remaining Schedules:

BG 7-8:
Directional Michigan x2
UMASS.

They could easily get to 10-8

Toledo 8-6:
NIU
OU
Miami
Buffalo

Toledo 10 win basement. Likely to 11 wins and be the 4th seed.


OU 9-6:
Toledo
UMASS
Miami

If OU can get to 11 wins, we could lock in 4. That's assuming quite a bit. 10 wins we lose all tiebreakers, if BG takes care of some bad teams.

I think we might be looking at Kent State in Cleveland as a 6 seed.


We might get a huge gift from Western Michigan if they can hold on. Up 9 @ BG with under 4 to go.
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OUbobcat9092
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/24/2026 9:17:08 PM 
BG, Buffalo and UMass all lose tonight.


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M.D.W.S.T
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/25/2026 9:25:50 AM 
M.D.W.S.T wrote:

TODAY:
4) OU 9-6
5) Toledo 8-6
6) BG 7-8



UPDATE:

4) Toledo 9-6
5) OU 9-6
6) BG 7-9

Remaining:

Toledo 9-6:
OU
Miami
Buffalo

OU 9-6:
Toledo
UMASS
Miami

BG 7-9:
Directional Michigan
UMASS


If OU can get one W, they lock 5 vs Toledo. If they lose all 3, BG wins the last 2 they would jump us into 5.

No idea who'd I rather play in this scenario, but I'd LOVE to ruin Miami's perfect run. What a delight it would be to be the asterisk.

With that said, I'm so sick of losing to Toledo, but damn if we don't always lose to Toledo. Kent State is a far superior team, but Tod K has Boals number. I think I'd rather play Toledo and have Simmons go bonkers in the tournament. Use Jeff's sad record and Simmons exit as a huge motivator against Toledo, but they will have the same motivation vs Simmons so who knows.

Either way, Round 2 vs Akron or Miami isn't very appetizing.

Last Edited: 2/25/2026 9:26:06 AM by M.D.W.S.T

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shabamon
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Location: Cincinnati
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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/25/2026 9:39:32 AM 
After last night's results, I think the eight seed is off the table.
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GraffZ06
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Location: Dayton, OH
Post Count: 2,370

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  Message Not Read  RE: Official Game 29 Thread: Toledo
   Posted: 2/26/2026 9:54:54 AM 
shabamon wrote:
After last night's results, I think the eight seed is off the table.


It is. 3-7 is still theoretically possible, but neither 3 nor 7 is realistic. Overwhelming odds are we're in the 4/5.

I'd much rather play Toledo in Cleveland than Kant (Kant is a better team and plays good D). Toledo we get owned by, but just because we can't stop them. If by some stroke of luck they have an off night, we can score on them and get the upset.

So as long as we avoid the 6 seed - all I'm saying is I value the win over Toledo in Cleveland way more than a random Saturday MAC game in Athens. So I won't be in the sky is falling/fire Boals/Boals can't beat Toledo camp if we happen to lose this one.
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